Saturday, 22 August 2020
'If Liberty Means Anything!'
Sunday, 16 August 2020
The Fat Lady Still Isn’t Singing
by Les May
IN the period between 2* July and 12 August there were 30,041 new infections reported by the government. The average number of infections per day was 733. If the number of new infections was more or less stable we would expect there to be an equal number of days with above the average number of infections in the first half of this period and in the second half of this period. In fact there were just three days with above the average number of infections in the first half 3 July to 22 July. In the second half 24 July to 12 August there were 17 days. The middle day of the period, 23 July, there were above the average number of new infections. The total number of Covid19 deaths in this period was 2395. This figure is almost 8% of the number of new infections reported.*
If the average number of new infections remained at 733 per day, by Christmas we can expect there to be about 96,000 new infections reported in total which may translate into another 7,200 deaths.
The figures above are predicated on an unchanging rate of new infection. But if one compares new infections figures between the first (3 to 22 July) and the second half (24 July to 12 August) it is clear that the average daily rate has changed from 631 to 833. In other words the daily number of new Covid19 infections is rising again.
It is the rate at which the numbers are rising which is important not the actual numbers. So long as the rate of change is in the so called ‘linear phase’ this can be classed as (very) unfortunate; if it enters the so called ‘exponential phase’ this will be a disaster because we will have a rerun of what we experienced in late March and April, and we can kiss goodbye to Christmas.
If we are going to learn to live with the virus and not just watch others die with the virus we need to change what we are doing and become more proactive. Getting rid of the virus, before it gets rid of us, isn’t ‘Boris’s problem’, it’s our problem too.
Doing whatever is necessary to halt Covid19 infections would have another beneficial effect. The methods which are effective in reducing the likelihood of becoming infected against Covid19 are the ones which are effective in reducing the likelihood of becoming infected with Influenza. And we may just need them.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu
*My choice of start date was not arbitrary, it was the first day of the government’s updated method of reporting new infections and close to the day on which most meeting places were reopened.
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Thursday, 13 August 2020
Hokey Cokey on Corbyn Friend's Facebook Page
Curious Corbynite Dance as Site Censor's Stefan Cholewka
I put my right hand in,
I put my right hand out,
- In out, in out.
- shake it all about.
THE Hokey Cokey* is a famous traditional campfire song which has recently been adopted as method of punishment by the Rochdale Friends of Jeremy Corbyn Facebook page to confuse readers as to its method of administration of the site. It follows critical allusions about the self-confessed fraud, the now Rochdale councillor Faisal Rana, who breached electoral law when he obtained and used postal votes illegally. It was widely reported at the time that he had accepted a police caution, but the Rochdale Labour Party continued to back him, as do other useful idiots.
Recently Stefan Cholewka, Secretary of Rochdale Trade Union Council, in a personal capacity posted some links critical of Cllr. Rana's historic conduct on the Jeremy Corbyn Facebook page. Owing to this act Sam O'Brien, a local trade union activist, then threaten to withdraw from membership of the Facebook page if Stefan's comments remained up.
One of the Facebook administrators then obediently removed Stefan's comments, but also seemingly someone blocked Stefan from both access and posting on the site. Then suddenly, earlier this week, he was readmitted and began posting items. Yet within 24-hours of his readmission to the Facebook page he reported that he was out again.
- 'In out, in out.
- shake it all about.'
- This seems to be the politics of the famous Hokey Cokey music hall dance and suggests to us that the fall of the Red Wall in the North of England may not be temporary event, as it points to a continuing degeneration in the psychology of those elements like Sam O'Brien, who seemed to think that they have the 'key to the universe'. It is the mentality of what the French call the idée fixe, which among some elements of the Anglo-Saxon left seems to be evolving into monomania.
If they do not get a grip sites like Rochdale's Friends of Jeremy Corbyn Facebook page will become impoverished: mere megaphones bleating like of sheep.
* The Hokey Cokey (United Kingdom and the Caribbean) or Hokey Pokey (United States, Canada, Australia, Ireland and Israel)[1] is a famous, popular campfire song and participation dance with a distinctive accompanying tune and lyric structure. It is well known in English-speaking countries. It originates in a British folk dance, with variants attested as early as 1826. The song and accompanying dance peaked in popularity as a music hall song and novelty dance in the mid-1940s in the UK. The song became a chart hit twice in the 1980s. The first UK hit was by The Snowmen, which peaked at UK No. 18 in 1981.
Wednesday, 12 August 2020
'Country house tea rooms' & technology!
IN July Jeffery Green in a comment on this Blog said: 'Yes the NT is a somewhat stuffy and middle-class group, which recently found that there was much public interest in the kitchens and servant quarters of the grand houses that it owns. I think so much is due to that arch-snob Lees-Milne who negotiated with the financially straightened owners - in Pulborough's Petworth House NT enabling the family to stay in the front portion of the grand house whilst the NT kept up the deer park and permitted visitors to the rear. They finally allow access to the kitchens.
'But they did purchase that Chartist cottage near Bromsgrove and the workhouse at Southwell so slowly the NT became slightly socially aware.'
This month Jonathan Aylen, from Salford in Greater Manchester, wrote in a letter in the FT last Saturday that 'There ought to be a landscape dominated by cooling towers somewhere in Europe. Perhaps the National Trust should be planning to acquire Ratchiffe-on-Soar power station south of Nottingham when it closes?'
Mr. Aylen observes: 'Large swaiths of carbon intensive technology technology are about to become obsolete and dissapear with little record. In the same vein, Britain was the first to use but is now the first to dismantle civil nuclear power stations.'
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Who Will ‘Call Out’ Economic Inequality?
by Les May
LAST Friday a US doctor interviewed for the PBS (Channel 91) documentary ‘The Virus: What went wrong?’ said that 40 to 50% of American families were ‘just managing’. In the 1990s the British economist and journalist Will Hutton said ‘We live in a 30:30:40 society. Thirty percent of people have made it; thirty percent think they will make it and forty percent know they will never make it.’ Two weeks ago an Indian economist speaking on the AlJazeera programme ‘Inside Story’ (Channel 235) said that if less than 1000 of its most wealthy citizens were made to pay a 4% wealth tax, India could double its spending on health care.
In his August 7 2020 article for The Atlantic US journalist Kurt Andersen writes ‘In 2006 the annual revenues of Goldman Sachs were greater than the annual economic output of two-thirds of the countries on Earth—a treasure chest from which the firm was disbursing the equivalent of $69 million to its CEO and an average of $800,000 each to everybody else at the place… In 40 years, the share of wealth owned by our richest 1 percent has doubled, the collective net worth of the bottom half has dropped to almost zero, the median weekly pay for a full-time worker has increased by just 0.1 percent a year, only the incomes of the top 10 percent have grown in sync with the economy, and so on. Americans’ boats stopped rising together; most of our boats stopped rising at all. Economic inequality has reverted to the levels of a century ago and earlier, and so has economic insecurity, while economic immobility is almost certainly worse than it’s ever been.’
Full text at: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/08/i-was-useful-idiot-capitalism/615031/
Examine it closely and Boris Johnson’s ‘Levelling Up’ agenda is just a re-run of Margaret Thatcher’s ‘Trickle Down Economics’; invest in infrastructure to boost productivity in the North to London levels; the rich will get even richer and a bit of that wealth will trickle down. There will be no change in the relative levels of income; it will still be a world of zero hours contracts, food banks, two jobs and insecure tenancies for those at the bottom of the heap.
Who cares? Certainly not the young, or at least not the privileged young, that 30% who will ‘make it’ or the 30% who think they will. They are far too busy demanding the removal of statues, patronising those they see as ‘oppressed’ by demanding ‘safe spaces’ for them, and ‘no platforming’ speakers because they lack the ability or willingness to engage in rational debate with anyone they disagree with.
Speaking at the Oxford Union in 2017 Bernie Sanders said: 'There is an area which is not nearly so sexy as dealing with race, as dealing with gender, as dealing with homophobia and that is the economic struggle and in that struggle we are not only not making progress, we are losing ground'. As if to emphasise his point the applause came when he made reference to ‘gay’ marriage in the UK.
But as Sanders told his Oxford audience the economic issues ‘wrap around’ all the social issues. If you are on a zero hours contract, living in a lousy house for a rent which takes a third of your income, are always one pay packet away from being penniless, working but having to use a food bank, it’s not because you are black/white, male/female, gay/straight, cis/trans, it’s because the people who run the system want it that way. They and their even richer friends benefit from running the political system along neo-liberal lines. And you will find some of the beneficiaries in all the categories listed above. Which is why ‘racist’ Trump has his Black and Hispanic supporters, and ‘racist’ Boris has his Rishi Sunak and Priti Patel. Some of them are doing very nicely thank you!
If the young don’t care, what about ‘The Left’. How about Labour? You’ll remember in February three Labour leadership hopefuls declared themselves Zionists and one, Lisa Nandy, said if she became leader she would press for the IHRA definition of anti-semitism to be accepted by the Labour party. This is some of what the Jewish Voice for Peace (JVP) has to say about that definition;
The International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance (IHRA) definition of antisemitism, which is increasingly being adopted or considered by western governments, is worded in such a way as to be easily adopted or considered by western governments to intentionally equate legitimate criticisms of Israel and advocacy for Palestinian rights with antisemitism, as a means to suppress the former.
This conflation undermines both the Palestinian struggle for freedom, justice and equality and the global struggle against antisemitism. It also serves to shield Israel from being held accountable to universal standards of human rights and international law.
Same month, same cast; Rebecca Long-Bailey, Lisa Nandy and Emily Thornberry all pledged support to the 12 demands of the Labour Campaign for Trans Rights. To which one senior Shadow Cabinet member representing a northern constituency is reported to have said ‘My constituents don’t give a flying fuck about transsexual issues’.
Text at: https://twitter.com/Labour_Trans/status/1226939313264394241
Their priorities seem to be different from mine, but I suppose being on £80k or so blunts the judgement when it comes to thinking about poverty. Increasingly ‘wealth creation’ for some is generating the makings of poverty for others. We see this especially in the privately rented housing market where a new ‘rentier’ class has emerged funded by rents which require a significant proportion of tenant income.
But ‘The Left’ isn’t just the Labour party and here we have yet another problem. There are those who like me think that our society is structured along economic lines, more wealth equals more privilege, and that our priority should be to tackle the vast inequalities between the richest and the poorest in our society. And there are those who want to view our society as structured along racial lines and insist that getting rid of what they define as racism is far more important than pursuit of a more economically equitable society.
Terms like ‘structural racism’ are dragooned into explanations for everything that is wrong with our society; they are sufficiently vague that they can be made to mean exactly what the speaker wants them to mean at the time.
Structural inequality is measurable; income ratios, wealth ratios, rates of direct tax, infant mortality, years without disability, differential morbidity and mortality, are all good measures. And if we can measure it, we can measure how successful we are at reducing it. Eliminating the inequalities of wealth in our world would do far more to help what some people like to see as ‘oppressed’ groups than any amount of rolling statues into the local dock or ‘calling out’ someone as a ‘racist’.
Postscript. I write this as someone who in Will Hutton’s terms has ‘made it’. That doesn’t mean I’m rich. It just means that I have always had a regular income, decent working conditions, a place to live I wasn’t going to be kicked out of at my landlord’s whim, a warm bed, four meals a day, a pension in my old age...
Monday, 10 August 2020
WHO'S AFRAID OF SAM O'BRIEN?
Editorial comment: This month it was brought to our attention that two live links had been taken down on the Rochdale Friends of Jeremy Corbyn Facebook page. The links were to items on the NV Blog that had been put up as comments by Stefan Cholewka and led to posts critical of the establishment politics in Rochdale. Since they were removed a local Rochdale activist, Sam O'Brien, has admitted that he threatened to withdraw from membership of the Facebook site, if the links were not removed.
There are eleven administrators on the site and two have told NV that they were not consulted. At this time we have not been able to contact the other administrators and it may be that they have not been consulted either, but Sam O'Brien has been kind enough to offer his thoughtful observations below. We leave it our readership to judge the profound wisdom of his case. We understand that any one of the administrators could remove content on the Rochdale Friends of Jeremy Corbyn Facebook page.
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Can this really be the language of the Enlightenment?
Sunday, 9 August 2020
Cllr. ‘Two Votes’ Rana Plays The Race Card Again!
by Les May
A FEW days after the original piece appeared on Northern Voices I received an e-mail which read: 'Enjoyed reading the article : "Two Votes Rana Plays the Race Card’, which nicely highlights what I would call the ‘acceptable face of racism’ ie no one would ever get away with calling for more whites or ethnic majority councillors / MPs or blaming ethnic minority councillors / MPs for bad decisions affecting ‘whites’.'
http://northernvoicesmag.blogspot.com/2020/07/two-votes-rana-plays-race-card.html
As I think that words like ‘racism’, ‘fascism’, ‘nazi’ are overused to the point of being debased and losing contact with their original meaning, I had mentally filed Faisal Rana’s original complaint under ‘whingeing’ not ‘racism’. Nonetheless I find it difficult to disagree with the e-mail writer. If one of the ‘non-BAME’ Labour councillors had written in this spirit s/he would have found themselves suspended from the party and subject to a disciplinary inquiry.
After a writer on NV pointed out that there is a balance amongst our councillors ‘Two Votes’ has amended his blog part of which now reads; ‘But overcoming all the barriers to fair representation in my authority has not come about by accident. It has taken a lot of hard work and it has been left almost entirely to BAME themselves.’
This is more nonsense which again lays him open to a charge of racism if anyone wants to make it. The Labour party has people of all skin colours/race/ethnicity, call it what you will, amongst its members and supporters, so don’t disparage their efforts. One of the reasons my ward has an ‘Asian’ councillor is that I, and people like me, voted for him.
It’s not the BNP, EDL or some other unsavoury group who are trying to inject a racial theme into Rochdale politics, it’s Faisal Rana, and it appears to me that he is doing it to advance his political career. We may all come to regret it if he succeeds.
Wednesday, 5 August 2020
Curious History of 'Ethnic' Politics in Rochdale
Editorial comment:
Below are the contents of a post on the personal Blog
of the very notorious Rochdale Councillor Faisal Rana.
He is notorious because he managed to get a police
caution for voting twice at the local elections in 2018.
As the Labour member for Spotland and Falinge he
insisted he ‘didn’t realise’ that casting votes in two
wards in the same council borough was an offence.
councillors leads to bad decisions.'
in this town, and even accompanied a party of supporters of
Jammu Kashmir Liberation Front supporters when in 1992
they went to the House of Commons to appeal to get the support
of Paddy Ashdown, the then Lib Dem leader, in their conflict on
Liberation Front (JKLF), and the India government.
Worries have been voiced in Rochdale about the problems
of the Indian sub-continent becoming too much of an issue
in the town's politics.
Cllr Faisal Rana@FaisalRana48·
Cllr Rana tweets: 'Too few BAME councillors leads to bad decisions.'
Cllr Rana continues as follows:
'BAME councillors are hugely under-represented on councils'
'Sky News reported that only seven percent of all UK councillors are from a minority ethnic background, which is half the percentage BAME people make up of the country's overall population (14 per cent). The report, by Professor Maria Sobolewska and Dr Neema Begum from the University of Manchester, highlighted for the first time the scale of under-representation in councils.
'They said under-representation on councils - where decisions are made on where money is spent - "creates a potential for perpetuating and reinforcing racial inequality and disadvantage."
'To those like me working in local government, it does not come as a surprise. All too often, an ingrained if unspoken prejudice exists in many Labour Party branches that BAME candidates cannot win in predominantly white seats. The selection process and selection meetings are poorly run and often loaded against minority ethnic minority candidates. How many branches, even today, meet on licenced premises discouraging many mumslim [sic] members from taking part? Even when a BAME member is selected as a candidate, it is likely to be in a seat that the party has little or no chance in winning.'
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After he was elected Councillor Rana was cautioned for electoral fraud by the police for voting twice in the local elections. Yet, he still retained his seat and has since been promoted. When I spoke to another Rochdale Muslim councillor about the shame that Rana was bringing upon the Labour Party by his conduct I was told that he (Rana) has too much influence over the leader of the Rochdale Labour Party Alan Brett.
Despite what Cllr Rana and the community of scholars might say 'Ethnic identity politics' doesn't have a very noble tradition in Rochdale.
Monday, 3 August 2020
The Authoritarian Road To Alternative Politics?
Saturday, 1 August 2020
National Trust 'Somewhat Stuffy & Middle-Class'
JEFFERY GREEN

