Arguably the
distinctive peculiarities of British politics have been nurtured under the
so-called First Past the Post electoral system which means a single winner at
constituency level by virtue of the highest individual tally irrespective of a
majority. This has historically proved particularly advantageous to the
Conservatives who have been able to achieve something of a monopoly regarding a
reliable 40% plus voting bloc for the right, whilst the liberal left conversely
proved more factious with a newly assertive centrist wing that had formally
seceded from the Labour Party.
It now appears that
Conservatives have fallen prey to a mirror trajectory of Labour’s fate in the
1980s, facing a credible independent flank to their right courtesy of the
Reform Party. But what is this curious beast and just how serious a political
challenge does it pose? Perhaps the Reform Party’s greatest strength also
happens to be its greatest weakness, for this is but the latest iteration of
Faragism to come down the line of the anti-federalist UK Independence Party to
the Brexit Party. Faragism alludes to the charismatic figure of Nigel Farage
who has proven adept at inserting himself into the national conversation
concerning the perceived failures of mainstream politics. Farage has cannily
weaved a heterodox line of nationalist dissent into the otherwise
uber-internationalism of hegemonic free market economics, whereby protectionism
is invoked if only in terms of the migratory flows of labour across
nation-states. This distinctive antinomic premise had already been invoked by
Enoch Powell and had put him at odds with fellow free market ideologues like
Ralph Harris and the Institute of Economic Affairs (Heffer, p445).
It would seem like Powell;
Farage’s cultural nationalism gives a potency which would otherwise be hard to
envisage in proselyting for a deregulated small state to a blue collar
audience. Regular opinion polling suggests a ceiling for Reform UK, with their
best percentage share to date at 25% (Coates, 2025), suggesting Faragism is
another overegged electoral phenomenon akin to Cleggmania (Kampfner, 2010).
Whilst it seems quite possible that Reform could go on to bag a few dozen more
MPs come the next election, it does seem ridiculous to suggest Farage can go on
to win an electoral majority from his current 4 MPs or so (Lowe having been
suspended). A more realistic scenario is Farage as a kingmaker in a future hung
parliament. It just seems a matter of time before the Conservative Party comes
to terms with Farage and unless Reform are lucky enough to latch onto another
compelling populist figure, Conservatives have no choice but to dig in and wait
it out.
References:
Coates, Sam (2025) ‘Reform UK tops landmark poll for first time’ Available at: https://news.sky.com/story/reform-uk-tops-landmark-poll-for-first-time-13302531
(Accessed 04 February 2025)
Heffer, Simon (1998) “Like The Roman. The Life of Enoch Powell” Faber and Faber
Kampfner, J (2010) ‘The lessons of Cleggmania and Lib Dem losses’ Available at: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2010/may/07/nick-clegg-liberal-democrats-cleggmania