by
Les May
BORIS
JOHNSON’S failure to date to
get a General Election at a time of choosing has had the effect of
forcing him into the
position that when
we do go
to the polls he is going to
have to give greater clarity about his real intentions.
Here
are some facts. In the 2016 Referendum 65% of Tory
voters and 35% of Labour
voters chose the Leave
option. And there the
things we know for
certain, end. The rest
is speculation and guesswork, and Johnson knows no more than the rest
of us.
In
particular what he doesn’t know is how many of those Tory Leave
voters want the UK to
leave the EU having
signed an agreement, a.k.a. ‘a
deal’,
and how many don’t want any kind of deal. The first of these,
together
with those who do not want to leave,
probably have nowhere else to go in an election and will have to stay
with the Tories even if there is no agreement, but
Johnson needs to keep them all
happy
by dangling the prospect of an agreement in front of them to
make sure they do.
The second are more problematic. If there is any prospect
of him signing an agreement they are likely to vote for the Brexit
party so
he has to keep them
happy too by dangling the prospect of no agreement in front of them.
If
he could have secured an early election he could have faced both ways
and got the votes of both groups in the certain knowledge that when
the crunch came and one group was disappointed, there would be
nothing they could do about it. Now
he cannot do that.
Who
said ‘Constructive Ambiguity’
was a Labour problem?
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