Sunday 15 March 2020

We Have A Cunning Plan

by Les May
THE sister of a friend of mine is notorious for her habit of putting things off until the last possible moment.  If reminded of something she has to do she inclined to reply that she will do it ‘When she gets round to it’.   Having heard this once too often, for her next birthday he bought her a circular ceramic plate inscribed with the word ‘Tuitt’ in large letters.   She didn’t take the hint!

I was reminded of my now deceased friend this morning whilst listening to an interview with Matt Hancock the Secretary of State for Health and Social CareThe government it seems has a plan to deal with the UK outbreak of Corvid19 and they will implement it, ‘when they get round to it’At present the UK has 5000 ventilators, a piece of equipment likely to be needed by about 1 in 20 of people who show symptoms of Corvid19.  Tomorrow he is going to contact manufacturers to urge them to construct more. He will tell them, ‘The NHS will buy all that you make’.  You might have felt more reassured by this if he had said it three weeks ago.

No wonder a senior government source recently found it necessary to say, ‘the perception that ministers are reluctant to make difficult and costly decisions to battle the virus is wrong’.  Oh really?  Then why are people who think they have the symptoms of Covid19 and being told to self isolate not being tested?  Testing and tracking recent contacts is the way to limit the spread of the virus.

Thankfully Hancock did say that aiming for herd immunity by allowing the SARS2 virus to infect 60% or so of the population is no longer part of the government strategy. The fact that it got so far as to be publicly discussed by medical professionals alarmed at the prospect does not give confidence that the overall strategy of Johnson’s government is well thought out.

The strategy of the British government in minimising the impact of Covid19 is to allow the virus to pass through the entire population so that we acquire herd immunity, but at a much delayed speed so that those who suffer the most acute symptoms are able to receive the medical support they need, and such that the health service is not overwhelmed and crushed by the sheer number of cases it has to treat at any one time.’  Robert Peston 12 March 2020.

Hancock made much of the government’s strategy for protecting ‘the vulnerable and elderly’Any impact that this might have had in suggesting that there really was a well co-ordinated strategy was diminished by the fact that the news had been allowed to emerge last night from a journalist.


The effect of drip feeding us bits of information about ‘the plan’ merely makes the government look shambolic and secretive. My impression of Hancock’s performance this morning is that he has been promoted to one level above his competence.   We need clear information both about the government’s overall strategy and the scientific evidence upon which it is relying in making its political decisions.

Telling a significant proportion of the population they must stay indoors for three to four months for their own protection is a big ask. It is far more likely to be accepted if we are given clear information about why it is necessary and what it actually means in practice. I find it difficult to believe that I would be putting myself at significant risk if I took a stroll around the park each day and avoided being close to anyone. I think I would be more at risk in accepting a food container into my house without first wiping it over with dilute bleach and then washing my hands.

Those of us who are old enough to remember the Falklands war will recall the nightly TV briefings put out by the Ministry of Defence and read by Ian McDonald. His matter-of-fact delivery on the latest developments gave the bulletins an air of authority, something which was entirely lacking in Hancock’s answers. I’m not sure that anyone in the present government is sufficiently trusted by the public to take on the role of keeping us informed.



************************* 

No comments: